NPL&REO News

Mortgage Delinquency Rate Drops to Pre-Financial Crisis Levels

The health of the mortgage market continues to improve step by step, at least regarding default rates. Mortgage delinquency closed the first quarter at 1.6%, a level not seen since the months leading up to the financial crisis. According to data from the Spanish Mortgage Association (AHE), this represents a two-decimal-point improvement compared to the final quarter of 2025, and a six-decimal-point drop compared to the same period last year. This translates to a 25% year-on-year decline in the delinquency rate.

“This is the lowest level since the period prior to the outbreak of the 2008 global crisis, when delinquency was practically nominal,” the association notes in its report.

This decline is driven by both a reduction in non-performing loan balances and an expansion of the outstanding balance. The total non-performing credit exposure to resident sectors continued its downward trajectory, also dropping by 0.6 percentage points to reach 2.6%.

Consumer Credit and Construction

On the other hand, consumer credit has followed the opposite path. Continuous increases in delinquency since late 2023 have pushed its default ratio to 4%. However, the association points out that this “remains at relatively stable levels and below those observed since 2008.”

There was also a decline in non-performing loan balances within the construction sector (excluding public works), which saw its volume decrease by 17% over the last year. In this segment, the non-performing loan rate dropped from the 8.4% recorded in the first quarter of 2025 to the current 7.1%. On a quarter-on-quarter basis, the ratio barely fell by a few hundredths of a percent; however, this trend is not due to an increase in defaults over the last three months, but rather to a contraction in the outstanding loan balance, which acts as the denominator of the ratio.

Productive Activities Show Strength

Meanwhile, credit to productive activities continued its clean-up process following a 13% decline, which pushed its delinquency rate down from 3.7% to 3.1%.

In short, the AHE concludes:

“From an annual perspective, all credit categories within this segment have shown favorable progress in both their non-performing balances and default ratios. In particular, the real estate sector enjoys a relatively solid level of solvency, having moved past the severe deterioration associated with the 2008 financial crisis.”

Hipoges diversifies as Europe’s NPL market enters a new phase

In an interview with Jornal Económico, Hipoges General Manager Sofia Costa said the Southern European NPL servicing market has entered a new stage, with significantly lower volumes of non-performing loan (NPL) portfolios available than in the years following the financial crisis.

According to Costa, while banks continue to dispose of distressed assets, transactions are now smaller, more frequent and increasingly diversified, replacing the large-scale portfolio sales that previously characterised the market.

To adapt to this changing environment, Hipoges is broadening its business beyond traditional NPL servicing. The company is expanding into complementary areas such as real estate asset management, property development, valuation, legal services, mortgage brokerage and alternative credit, with the aim of managing the entire lifecycle of distressed assets.

Costa also highlighted the growing role of private credit funds in financing real estate projects and stressed that investment in technology and artificial intelligence is key to improving operational efficiency and supporting the company’s long-term growth strategy.

Original story: Jornal Económico | Data: Maria Teixeira Alves
Edition and translation: Prime Yield

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