NPL&REO News

Banks are more profitable and have less NPL

System banks show good results against bad debts as well as good profitability levels in the second quarter of the year, says the Bank of Portugal.

In the second quarter of the year, the total assets within the Portuguese banking sector increased 1.7%, a result leveraged by the increased in loans ad advances to customers and deposits at central banks by 0.68% and 0.63%, respectively.

Although loans to customers rose by 1.2%, there was a 2.3% increase in deposits, resulting in a decrease in the transformation ratio (difference between loans and deposits).

NPL ratio falls 3.4%

In the period under review, and according to banking system data released by Banco de Portugal, the gross non-performing loans (NPL) ratio fell 0.2 percentage points to 3.4%, which reflected “the decrease in NPLs (-4.0%) and the increase in performing loans (+1.8%)”. In net terms, the NPL ratio fell marginally by 0.1 percentage points to 1.6%.

Also, the NPL ratios of companies and individuals decreased. In companies 0.4 percentage points to 7.6% and in individuals 0.1 percentage points to 2.6%.

The supervisor led by Mário Centeno adds that “the decrease in NPLs had a greater contribution than the increase in productive loans in the reduction of both ratios”.

Profitability at 8.8%

Between April and June, return on equity (ROE) rose compared to the first quarter by 3.7% to 8.8%, a significant improvement on previous years, particularly 2020.

In the second quarter of the year banks as a whole recorded a 1.7% increase in total assets. Contributing to this were the increase in loans and advances to customers and central bank assets by 0.68 percentage points (pp) and 0.63 pp, respectively.

Although loans to customers rose by 1.2%, there was a 2.3% increase in deposits, resulting in a decrease in the transformation ratio (difference between loans and deposits).

Original Story: Expresso | Isabel Vicente 
Photo: Photo by Armindo Caetano in FreeImages.com
Edition and translation: Prime Yield

EBN creates the first Spanish securitisation fund on NPL portfolios

The EBN Group has set up the first uncollateralised bad debt (NPL) securitisation fund, whose securities are marketed in Spain in the form of a five-year bond, it announced.

EBN Titulización SAU, with advice from EBN Capital SGIIC, has set up ‘NPLs Unsecured Fondo de Titulización’. A first compartment will pay a coupon of 7.5% per annum semi-annually and will additionally repay 7.5% of the principal from the first year. The fund also provides for a series of additional kickers, giving the vehicle a resulting IRR ranging from 8% to 14%, depending on the date of full repayment.

EBN pointed out that Spain is, after France, “the great source of unsecured NPL portfolios in Europe, from which foreign funds that have been buying large portfolios of this type, mainly from the banking sector, have been drinking from it for years”.

With this vehicle, EBN Titulización is the first Spanish entity to manage a securitisation fund of unsecured NPLs, whose securities are offered to qualified Spanish investors, a type of financial asset that until now has been reserved mainly for large funds, and which is very common in other European countries, but that has little or no presence in investors’ portfolios in Spain.

“The ‘NPL unsecured’ is, contrary to what it seems, an asset that is very decorrelated to the economic cycle, being very attractive in the current situation. It has the advantage that its recovery follows highly predictable behavioural patterns, which reinforces its securitisation in bond format”, said Silvia Bonales, Managing Director of EBN Titulización.

EBN Capital’s Director of Business Development, Enrique Castañeda, added that “this is an innovative proposal in line with the fund manager’s DNA”, to provide clients with “sources of true diversification and access to the best risk-return ratio”.

Original Story: Europa Press | News 
Photo:
Edition and translation: Prime Yield

BPI sells a €140 million NPL portfolio

BPI has completed the sale of the €140 million non-performing loans (NPL) portfolio Project Citron to funds managed by LX Investment Partners, the Portuguese bank informed. 

With a gross value of approximately € 140 million, the Project Citron is made of 15,000 contracts from about 5,000 clients, including both mortgage-backed and non-mortgage-backed loans.

“This transaction reinforces the strong position of BPI, which maintains the best  non-performong exposure (NPE) risk ratio in the Portuguese financial sector,” the bank said.

In the end of the 1st semesters, BPI’s NPE ratio stood at 1.6%.

Original story: Jornal de Negócios | Hugo Neutel 
Photo: BPI Facebook
Edition and translation: Prime Yield

Banks change structure of their securitizations

National Bank and Piraeus Bank are heading to a change in the structure of the two pending securitizations, Frontier II and Sunrise III respectively, in order for the two portfolios to adapt to the requirements of Eurostat and to obtain the approval of the Finance Ministry for their inclusion in the Hercules scheme.

The new rule that Eurostat has set for the pending securitizations to be included in Hercules is for the mezzanine part of the securitization – i.e. what is sold to investors – to be at least 8% of the senior security.

Thus, if a securitization is e.g. 1 billion euros and the senior bond is €500 million, the mezzanine bond should be at least €40 million.

This rule has not been observed in most of the securitizations that have taken place to date, and for that reason Eurostat has raised the issue of registering the guarantees in the public debt.

Original Story: Ekathimerini | Newsroom 
Photo:Piraeus Bank
Edition: Prime Yield

Large banks delay NPL rebound from April 2023

Spanish banks, together with financial regulators such as the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Bank of Spain, confirm that bank arrears will start to rise at some point due to the rise in interest rates, which translates into a greater financial effort for companies and families with variable credits, inflation and the rise in the price of energy, as well as the expected slowdown in the economy. However, for the moment and publicly, they refuse to put a date on when this upturn will be seen. However, as elEconomista.es has learned, internal forecasts from several of the country’s large banks already point to non-performing loans beginning to flourish in the second quarter of 2023.

The forecast that delinquency is going to get worse has sounded like a mantra since the pandemic broke out in Spain. However, the measures implemented by the government and banks to alleviate the effects of Covid-19, such as the ERTEs, credit moratoriums and loans guaranteed by the ICO, together with the ECB’s lax monetary policy, have anaesthetised the situation of households and companies, leading, contrary to initial estimates, to the lowest levels of the last 14 years. According to the latest data from the Bank of Spain, at the end of July, the country’s financial sector NPL ratio stood at 3.85%.

But now, with the rise in interest rates with the aim of curbing inflation, the situation looks set to turn around. The ECB could raise rates to 2.5%, as predicted by the governor of the Bank of Spain, Pablo Hernández de Cos. Despite this hike, inflation in the euro area, which is targeted to reach 2% in the medium term, will remain high over the next two years. The ECB’s forecast is for it to moderate to 7% in 2023, compared with almost 10% at present. As a result of this rate hike, the European body also expects a recession next year.

Far from the last crisis

The arrival of a crisis could complicate employment, the already strained situation of families and companies and lead to more credit defaults. However, no one has yet given a forecast of how high the default rate could rise, although all bankers point out that it will be far from the last great crisis, when the default ratio exceeded 13% in the year 2023, and that it will be manageable.

For the time being, banks have kept down the toxic assets (foreclosed plus doubtful) on their balance sheet thanks to the sale of portfolios, which in the first half of 2022 alone amounted to 14,000 million. In view of the forecasts, banks will have to start increasing provisions to protect themselves from defaults, as requested by regulators. Moreover, the ECB has already asked the European sector for an estimate of the provisions needed in the case of the worst macroeconomic scenario, which assumes that Russia cuts off all gas supplies to Europe. However, the European supervisor is already working with a central macroeconomic scenario based on Russia’s gas supply to Europe being only 20%.

Construction stagnates arrears

Construction stagnates the reduction in NPL that it has been leading since the last great crisis, after reaching maximum thresholds with the bursting of the real estate bubble. The sector closed June with a rate of 8.4%, the same level as three months earlier, breaking the rate of decline. In the case of defaults only in credit institutions, the ratio stood at 8.4%, slightly higher than the 8.3% in March. For their part, consumer finance companies increased their default ratio to 6.28% in June, compared with 6.22% a month earlier.

Original Story: El Economista | Eva Díaz
Photo: Banco de Espana
Edition and translation: Prime Yield 

Banks must be “vigilant” as defaults increase for families and companies

Banks should be “vigilant” with the possible increase in defaults by families and companies due to the current economic context of rising prices and rising interest rates, warned Rui Pinto, who was speaking in Parliament about his appointment as a director of the Bank of Portugal.

He explained that the rise in interest rates and inflation will reduce the income of families, which will consume less with companies.

In a scenario of cooling economic activity, which is already beginning to be felt, Pinto noted, this context would create “pressure on the ability of families and companies, particularly in economies with high levels of debt, to meet their debts.

This “will create some pressure on the evolution of default” in relation to which banks should be “vigilant”, said the current administrator of the Securities Market Commission (CMVM) in the Budget and Finance Committee.

Rui Pinto stressed two aspects: “We are not yet seeing a negative evolution” in defaults; on the other hand, banks have had a very significant reduction in non-performing loans in recent years, so the level of problematic credit “is now relatively low and in line with other jurisdictions”.

With the rise in interest rates, banks may benefit from an increase in financial margins, Pinto continued. But this increase in margin “may be offset by a need to increase impairments, as there may be pressure on credit quality,” he said, noting that “banks have profitability that is not yet desirable.

Rui Pinto was heard in parliament as part of his appointment by the Finance Ministry to the board of directors of the Bank of Portugal.

Original Story: ECO |Alberto Teixeira
Photo: Bank of Portugal
Edition and translation: Prime Yield

Kruk accelerates in Spain and invests 90 million to buy NPL

Polish debt collection firm Kruk is picking up speed in Spain and has ambitious plans for the future. “At group level we have invested more than €160 million – in the acquisition of non-performing debt (NPL) portfolios – and in Spain, to date, we have invested around €90 million so far this year,” says its general manager in Spain, Alina Giurgea.

Founded in Poland in 1998, the company landed in Spain in 2015 with the integration of the Espand platform. Its total investment in those seven years amounts to 200 million and 45% – that 90 million – corresponds to the acquisition of four debt portfolios of unsecured financial institutions closed precisely this year.

Although each portfolio has a price, depending on its characteristics and risk, the average price on the market tends to oscillate on average between 5 and 15% of the debt acquired, so that the final total exposure acquired is several times the amount paid.

“It marks a new phase of development for us,” she says, convinced that it consolidates the firm’s position as a major player on the board. Giurgea declares herself “very optimistic about the future” and says that “the development we have had so far is even going to accelerate”.

Up to June – when it had invested 55 million euros in three portfolios – its investment represented 30% of the 160 million euros committed by the group as a whole. The firm is active in Poland, where it has its roots and headquarters, Italy, Romania, the Czech Republic, Slovakia and Spain. Its main activity is the purchase of defaulted debt in order to manage the recovery in a negotiated and “friendly” way, but it also has clients to whom it offers the recovery of their defaults.

“The group’s results are very good and we hope to replicate this strategy in Spain,” adds the director of Strategic Transactions and Client Relations at Kruk España, Francisco Álvarez, who assures that the firm is “on the right track” and therefore aspires to work with “the largest consumer financial institutions in the sector”.

“We are optimistic, we are looking at opportunities and we are going to try to close the year with some more investment if possible, logically without going crazy. We are very rational, we always do things very carefully thought out and in progression,” he adds.

The portfolio sales market experienced a notable reactivation in 2021, which has even been boosted this year without any more failures. “It was thought that there was going to be a wave of defaults and we were going to see very adverse effects, but this effect is being delayed and, although it is difficult to predict, we are analysing each portfolio in a very analytical way,” says Giurgea.

“The latest bank NPL ratio published – 3.85% in July, according to Bank of Spain data – is one of the lowest historically for ten or 15 years, which means that a very high level of NPLs is not being generated and we are not seeing it either,” adds Álvarez, although he is convinced that it will come.

“Now, as of today, the macroeconomic reality is that we have 10.5% inflation. That means that those of us who are paid on twelve pay slips are losing one of our monthly salaries. The continued rise in interest rates means an increase of between 100 or 200 euros in variable mortgage payments every month for people who have to pay at some point. The unemployment figures are not positive…. So, at some point it has to come. When? We don’t know,” he adds.

Debt with less seniority

“What we do see is that financial institutions are preparing themselves a bit and the portfolios that are being sold have a different type of seniority, we see portfolios that are a bit fresher. In other words, institutions are tending not to wait so long and to sell portfolios earlier,” says the general manager.

Kruk holds 9% of consumer bad debts

Kruk accounted for 9% of the nominal value of defaulted consumer loans sold in Spain up to June. These figures are included by the group in its financial report where it calculates that operations of this type were placed with a nominal balance of close to 3,000 million and for which 186 million was paid. Those closed by Kruk totalled a nominal value of close to 260 million (not including investments after June). Within the group, it was the unit that invested the most, with 31%, followed by Romania (21%), Poland (18%) and Italy (29%).

Original Story: El Economista | Eva Contreras 
Photo: Kruk Twiter
Edition and translation: Prime Yield

Housing credit slows for the first time in almost two years

In August, the total amount of loans for house purchase grew, year-on-year, less than it had grown in July. It’s the first slowdown since October 2020.

Mortgage lending in Portugal recorded its first slowdown in almost two years in August. This news should be seen in light of the tightening of monetary conditions by the European Central Bank.

In that month, the total amount of loans for house purchase grew 4.6% in year-on-year terms. This is a slowdown of 0.2 percentage points which, although slight, is the first to be recorded since October 2020, the Bank of Portugal said.

In August, banks had contracted housing loans with individuals totaling €99.7 billion. The growth recorded represents a rise of €200 million compared to the end of July.

In consumer credit, the amount totalled €20.5 billion at the end of August. This is also an increase of €200 million in comparison to July. But in this case there was an acceleration in the year-on-year growth rate, from 5.5% last month to 5.9% in August.

As for deposits by individuals, there was a reduction of €1.3 billion, but a growth of 6.8% compared to August 2021, to 181.4 billion. Deposits tended to shrink in August, recalls the Bank of Portugal, a period marked by summer holidays. The reduction was mainly in demand deposits.

Credit to companies also slows down

From households to companies, the Bank of Portugal reports that the amount of loans was €76.4 billion at the end of August. Loans to companies grew 1.5% year-on-year, which is 0.1 percentage points less than the growth recorded in July.

“This deceleration was more expressive in small and medium-sized companies and in companies in the manufacturing and accommodation and catering sectors. Loans granted to large companies and companies in the trade and transport sectors accelerated,” the supervisor’s statement said.

Finally, corporate deposits increased by €1.5 billion in August to 64.8 billion. It is a growth rate of almost 10%, but “represents a deceleration for the fifth consecutive month”.

Original Story: ECO | Flávio Nunes 
Photo: Photo by Miguel Saavedra in FreeImages.com
Edition and translation: Prime Yield

Process for concession of 20% of NBG goes on

The proposal of the Hellenic Financial Stability Fund on the three nominations from which the disposal adviser for a package of shares of National Bank of Greece will be chosen is already in the hands of Finance Minister Christos Staikouras.

Kathimerini understands the three candidates are Goldman Sachs, J.P. Morgan and Bank of America, and the minister will recommend the most suitable one in order to run the process of selling the NBG share package in the context of the official expression of interest submitted by the Saudi Arabian sovereign wealth fund Public Investment Fund (PIF) for the acquisition of 20% of the lender.

The interest of PIF, which according to information has started due diligence at National, has taken on an exclusive character in discussions with the HFSF, which is committed until the end of November not to conduct corresponding discussions – at least officially – with another interested party.

The consultant to be selected will submit a valuation report to the HFSF and provide it with advisory support at all stages of the implementation of the transaction, if it proceeds.

Original Story: Ekathimerini | Newsroom 
Photo:Photo by Michalis Famelis / Wikimedia Commons
Edition: Prime Yield

SPAIN Bank NPLs fall to 3.85% in July and remain at 2008 lows

Non-performing loans (NPL) granted by all credit institutions to companies and individuals fell in July to 3.85%, slightly down from 3.88% in the previous month, when it fell below the 4% mark for the first time in 14 years.

Provisional data from the Bank of Spain show that the doubtful assets ratio remains at its lowest level since December 2008. The decline with respect to a year earlier is 54 basis points.

The reduction in the NPL ratio of the private sector is due to the fact that the fall in the volume of doubtful loans (-1%) exceeded the decline in credit granted (-0.16%).

Specifically, credit to the resident private sector fell by €1.987 Billion to €1.232 trillion, while the total volume of non-performing loans fell by  €481 million to €47.435 billion (the lowest figure since August 2008).

Compared with July 2021, total lending increased by €11.776 billion and the doubtful balance decreased by €6.209 billion.

The figures include the methodological change in the classification of Financial Credit Establishments (EFCs), which since January 2014 are no longer considered within the category of credit institutions. Excluding the change, the NPL ratio would stand at 3.95%, since the credit balance was €1.2 trillion in July, when excluding the credit of CFCs.

The data broken down by type of institution show that the doubtful assets ratio of all deposit institutions (banks, savings banks and cooperatives) closed July at 3.77%, compared with 3.77% in June and 4.33% a year earlier.

The NPL ratio of financial credit institutions stood at 6.28% in the seventh month of the year, up from 6.22% in June and down from 6.5% a year earlier.

According to data from the Bank of Spain, provisions for all credit institutions fell to €33.18 billion in July, down €178 million in the month and €5.802 billion in the year.

Original Story: Estrategias de Inversión | Europa Press 
Photo: Photo by Victor Iglesias from FreeImages
Edition and translation: Prime Yield

Greek private sector bank deposits rise in August

Greek private sector bank deposits rose slightly in August for a fifth month in a row, central bank data showed.

Business and household bank deposits increased to €183.09 billion at the end of August from €182.93 billion in July, Bank of Greece data showed.

Greek banks’ deposit inflows had been rising since the beginning of 2021 as lockdowns to stem the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic put a dent in consumer spending.

Greece’s economy expanded from April to June at a slower pace than in the first quarter and its annual growth rate decelerated.

Original Story: Zawya | George Georgiopoulos 
Photo:Photo by Markellos P. from FreeImages
Edition: Prime Yield

BCP and Fidelidade unfazed by Fosun woes

Portugal’s insurance company Fidelidade and bank BCP are unlikely to be affected by financial problems reported by the Chinese company Fosun.

The Chinese authorities have asked China’s largest banks and Chinese state companies to declare their degree of financial exposure to the Fosun Group – one of China’s largest non-State conglomerations.

Fosun has a 85% stake in the share capital of insurer Fidelidade and a 30% stare in bank Millennium bcp according to Bloomberg. The new cased a fall in BCP shares by 5.69% to €0.14.
Sources close to BCP and Fidelidade remained unruffled as to exposure and possible fallout, largely because they do not hold Fosun securities and do not expect Fosun to collapse.

Officially, neither BCP nor Fidelidade have commented on the financial woes at Fosun and their exposure.

In July, the president of Fosun, Guo Guangchang in a written interview with Expresso said that the company had no plans to divest in Portugal”.

Fosun also owns the Luz Saúde Group because of its 85% stake in Fidelidade. The purchase of the insurer was its first acquisition in 2014, sharing capital at the time with Caixa Geral de Depósitos, holding a 15% stake. Fosun also holds a 5% stake in REN.

Original Story: Essential Business | News 
Photo: Millennium bcp website
Edition: Prime Yield

New worries over NPLs

Banks and companies that manage bad loans are concerned in view of the upcoming difficult winter in terms of energy rates, the new increase in interest rates that the ECB is expected to announce, and the increased obligations this period creates for households at the start of the school year.

Officials at banks and servicers are considering the possibility of measures to help borrowers, and despite the fact that so far the course of loan servicing is progressing smoothly, they all recognize the expediency of having an arsenal of measures if conditions worsen.

According to sources, emphasis should be placed on borrowers who are consistent with their repayments, with the aim of keeping alive banks’ serviced portfolios, and especially on those who have settled their debts and continue to comply with regulations. The aim is to prevent these loans from turning nonperforming and protect the arrangements made to date.

Competent banking sources insist that for now there are no thoughts on horizontal measures and that any arrangements be made at the request of debtors on the basis of individualized solutions, such as reducing their loan installments for a few months to be able to meet their obligations before being forced to default on a payment.

Banking sources explain that any intervention in performing portfolios in the form of a horizontal facility will have a serious impact on the provisions that the banks will have to take. This is because even if a loan is rearranged – that is, without turning bad – it goes into another category that requires increased provisions, which directly hits the banks’ profitability and undermines the effort to distribute dividends.

The test run for decisions in the near future will be the loans included so far in the state-subsidized Gefyra 1 and 2 programs, for loans which have started to expire and whose behavior will judge the endurance of households and businesses in continuing to service their debts.

Original Story: Kathimerini | Evgenia Tzortzi
Photo: Photo by Lotus Head in FreeImages
Edition: Prime Yield

Uncertainty and inflation may pressure Portuguese banks, DBRS warns

The performance of the Portuguese banks in the first half of the year was positive, but some factors, such as inflation, pose risks to their future performance, rating agency DBRS warns.

Portugal’s banking sector is striving so much that the net income of the largest Portuguese banks has almost doubled compared to the same period in 2021. However, the uncertainty and macroeconomic scenario may pressure future profitability and assets, warned DBRS.

In an analysis of Portuguese banking, the agency concludes that higher revenues and lower provisioning and impairment expenses boosted earnings in the first half. Banks reported an aggregate net income of €1,293 million, up from €678 million in the first half of 2021.

Fee and commission income was up 12% year-on-year, “with solid performance across the board reflecting the progressive normalisation of economic activities postpandemic”. Meanwhile, The aggregate stock of NPLs “continued to decrease Quarter on Quarter (QoQ) and Year on Year (YoY), as asset quality remained largely resilient following the winddown of the moratoria.”

DBRS projects that in the short term, the stock of NPLs may continue to decline, albeit at a slower pace, or even stabilise. However, persistent inflationary pressure and high energy costs will add to borrower stress and increase asset quality risks over the medium term.

As for funding and liquidity conditions, DBRS said these “remained adequate” but noted that “the recent market volatility is contributing to increased refinancing costs in the wholesale market.” 

Although the first half of the year was positive for Portuguese banks, “the growing uncertainty and more challenging macroeconomic environment due to the high energy prices and persistent inflationary pressure will likely pressure future profitability and asset quality,” the rating agency explained.

Original Story: ECO News | Luís Alexandre 
Photo: Photo by Svilen Milev from FreeImages
Edition
: Prime Yield

Attica Bank restructuring plan to include NPL securitization

Attica Bank has only a few days to submit its capital restructuring plan to the Bank of Greece, which would include the third, and largest, securitization of bad loans, subject to loan assessment by credit rating agency DBRS. 

The Omega portfolio would include €1.3 billion in bad loans and its sale will also determine the bank’s needed capital increase. 

Original Story: Ekathimerini | Newsroom 
Photo: Attica Bank Linked IN
Edition: Prime Yield

Eleven banks in Spain recorded losses in the first half of the year

A total of eleven banks lost money between January and June 2022 in Spain, two fewer than in the same period a year earlier, according to individual data from the Bank of Spain.

The Bank of Spain reported that eleven banks lost money in the first half of 2022 – seven of these institutions (JPMorgan Chase Bank, Banco Europeo de Finanzas, Targobank, WiZink, Evo Banco, Credit Suisse AG Sucursal en España and Singular Bank) were already in the red in the first half of 2021.

JPMorgan Chase Bank National Association S.E. increased its losses by 17.3% in the first half of 2022, to €3.8 million, Singular Bank increased its losses by 84.6%, to €11.6 million, and Banco Europeo de Finanzas lost €141,000 until June, 4% more.

Targobank reduced its losses by 51.4%, to €4.26 million; WiZink cut its losses by 53%, to €12 million, Evo Banco reduced its losses by 30.2%, to €7.4 million, and Credit Suisse AG S.E. reduced its losses by 1.7%, to €5.07 million.

Deutsche Bank España and Banco Occidental, both of which reported a profit in the first half of last year, also posted losses.

In particular, Deutsche Bank España lost €5.2 million from the beginning of the year to June, compared with a profit of €5.6 million a year earlier, while Banco Occidental lost €3,000, compared with a net profit of €1,000 a year earlier.

Credit Suisse Bank (Europe) and Miralta Finance Bank presented their individual financial statements to the Bank of Spain for the first time, with losses of €15 million and €1.85 million euros, respectively.

Europa Press reported that Banco de Depósitos, Banco Alcalá, Wealthprivat Bank, Banco Pichincha and Andbank España, which recorded losses a year ago, entered into profit in the first half of 2022.

Andbank España earned €2.13 million until June, Banco Pichincha earned €827,000 and Wealthprivat Bank earned €150,000.

The profit amounted to €46,000 for Banco de Depósitos and €5,000 for Banco de Alcalá.

Liberbank, which was on the list of money-losing banks in Spain a year ago, has legally disappeared following its integration into Unicaja Banco.

Original Story: Euroweekly News |  Matthew Roscoe 
Photo: Bank of Spain
Edition: Prime Yield

Banks sell 1.6 billion in NPL and real estate during the holidays

In the middle of the holiday period, Portuguese banks are closing big deals like ECS, for 850 million. Novobanco sold its headquarters for 112 million. BCP, BPI, Montepio and Parvalorem also have portfolios on the market.

August is synonymous with holidays, but not for Portuguese banks, which are taking advantage of the good market conditions to do €1.6 billion worth of deals with non-performing loans (NPL) and real estate portfolios, according to information obtained by ECO.

“Most banks don’t need to sell these portfolios, but are doing so to take advantage of the good moment in the market and are getting prices they couldn’t imagine getting,” explains Marco Freire, CEO of Portuguese company Whitestar, which manages more than 10 billion euros in NPL and REO.

Half of this amount relates to the sale of ECS restructuring funds that the banks have just closed with the Davidson Kempner fund, in what will be the “real estate deal of the year” in Portugal, for a value of around 850 million euros, according to Jornal Económico.

Novobanco has also just sold the historic BES headquarters, on Lisbon’s Avenida da Liberdade, for 112 million euros to Spanish company Merlin Properties. BPI has sold the “Citrus” portfolio valued at around 100 million to LX Partners, a market source told ECO.

Other ongoing deals include BCP (with the “Aurora” NPL and REO portfolio worth 80 million), Santander (with the “Guadiana” property portfolio worth 100 million) and Montepio (with the “Alqueva” NPL secured portfolio worth 130 million), while Parvalorem, the vehicle that manages the spoils of the former BPN, has just unveiled plans to put the Imofundos property fund worth 250 million back on the market.

All in all, that’s €1.622 billion in business that is not part of the banks’ core activity. 

At this stage, banks are putting smaller portfolios on the market, when they were used to seeing large portfolios in recent years. This is mainly a reflection of the huge effort to reduce non-performing loans in recent years, which left banks with a level of problem loans at lows at 3.6% at the end of March.

Yet banks still had around €11.9 billion in hard-to-collect loans on their balance sheets, which will already correspond to the most problematic cases that have not yet been resolved. They also have more than a billion in restructuring funds.

Moment of inflection in the market

Whitestar’s CEO admits that the market may be nearing a “moment of inflection and transformation”, given the high-inflation environment and rising interest rates by central banks.

“Until two or three months ago, the market was overcompetitive. Investors were looking for low levels of returns, given the level of product risk, and there was a lot of liquidity and capital available. From the moment we started to see a rise in inflation and interest rates, investors started to have alternatives,” explains Freire.

There are already signs of these changes. There are “more aggressive” investors that are “temporarily” leaving the market “to try to understand where things are going”, according to the head of Whitestar. The other issue is the price, insofar as there are divergent expectations in relation to the values banks are demanding for portfolios.

Even so, Portugal continues to register “a good binomial demand / supply in the market,” ensures Marco Freire.

Inflation could lead to an increase in NPLs

In relation to 2023, specialists anticipate the continuation of this trend, essentially appearing portfolios around 100 million euros. And although rising interest rates could leave many families struggling to pay off their home loans, with an impact on the increase in bank bad debt, the effect will not come about immediately, but in two or three years.

For Marco Freire, “the main question is to know how long this situation will last” of escalating inflation and rising interest rates. “If we continue with this level of inflation for a long time, NPL levels will rise considerably,” he says.

Original Story: ECO | Alberto Teixeira 
Photo: Novo Banco website
Edition & Translation: Prime Yield

Collection agencies to start selling distressed loans back to banks

Debt collection agencies will start selling back to the banks portfolios of distressed loans that have been put back on a payment schedule.

The first such transaction, by loan recovery fund doValue, involves a portfolio of €100 million in mostly mortgages and is expected to take place late in 2022 or early 2023.

Original Story: Kathimerini | Newsroom 
Photo: Photo by Takis Kolokotronis in FreeImages
Edition: Prime Yield

Bank NPLs fall to 3.88% in June, at lowest level since 2008

Non-performing loans (NPL) granted by all credit institutions in Spain to companies and individuals fell in June to 3.88%, marking a low since December 2008.

According to provisional data from the Bank of Spain, this is the first month in which the NPL ratio fell below 4% since January 2009.

The June figure is 30 basis points lower than in May (4.18%) and 52 basis points below the NPL ratio of a year ago, which stood at 4.4%.

The reduction in the private sector NPL ratio reflects both an increase in credit granted and a decrease in the volume of NPL.

Specifically, credit to the resident private sector increased by €12.44 billion in June to €1.234 trillion, while the total volume of non-performing loans fell by €3.148 billion to €47.916 billion (the lowest figure since August 2008).

Compared with June 2021, total lending increased by €2.075 billion and the doubtful balance decreased by €6.302 billion.

The figures include the methodological change in the classification of Financial Credit Establishments (EFCs), which since January 2014 are no longer considered within the category of credit institutions. Excluding the change, the NPL ratio would stand at 3.98%, since the credit balance was €1.2 trillion in June, when excluding the credit of CFCs.

The data broken down by type of institution show that the doubtful assets ratio of all deposit institutions (banks, savings banks and cooperatives) closed June at 3.8%, compared with 4.08% in May and 4.34% a year earlier.

The NPL ratio of financial credit institutions stood at 6.22% in the sixth month of the year, down from 7.15% in the previous month and 6.51% in June 2021.

According to data from the Bank of Spain, the provisions of all credit institutions fell to €33.358 billion euros in June, down €2.033 billion euros in the month and €6.310 billion euros in the year.

Original Story: Estrategias de Inversion | Europa Press 
Photo: Photo by Victor Iglesias from FreeImages
Edition & Translation: Prime Yield

US’s Davidson Kempner to pay €850 million for the ECS funds

The ECS funds – FLIT and Recuperação Turismo Funds – will be sold for around €850 million to US investment management company Davidson Kempner Partners. The banks, which own these funds, have already reached a final agreement, but the operation still depends on regulators and is only expected to be concluded at the end of the year, according to the Portuguese newspaper Jornal Económico.

Caixa Geral de Depósitos, BCP, Novo Banco, Santander Portugal and Oitante (ex-Banif) reached an agreement with the North Americans for the sale of FLIT and Recuperação Turismo funds, according to a source close to the process. 

The agreement did not include the Recovery Fund, which will remain on the banks’ side. In this context, the banks may earn more money when this third fund is sold. The deal now depends on the market regulators, but the operation should be concluded at the end of this year.

Original Story: ECO News |News 
Photo:
Photo by Armindo Caetano in FreeImages
Edition: Prime Yield

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